Tuesday, November 4, 2008

The Official FFM2M ACC Bowl Predictions: Week 11

With five weeks left on the schedule the ACC already boasts four bowl eligible teams (UNC, Maryland, GT, Miami) and another five teams are just one game shy of reaching that bowling benchmark. Only two teams really look to be completely out of getting to the postseason; the Tigers and the Wolfpack. Duke's still got an outside shot with games against fellow cellar dwellers Clemson and NC State.

Last week's shake up with FSU, BC and UVA going down has shifted the weekly bowl predictions and a lot hinges on this week's games in Blacksburg, Chapel Hill, Winston-Salem and Tallahasee. The first three places because of the ACC Title Game implications and Tallahasee for the title game shot but also for the Tigers meager bowl hopes.

Let's run them down:

Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech

The Yellow Jackets caught a serious break in the their defeat of the 'Noles with the late game fumble into the end zone. Paul Johnson's boys have got the benefit of only having two ACC contests left before their end of the year showdown with interstate rival Georgia. If they can pull out wins over North Carolina and Miami they'll be sitting in the drivers seat all the way down to Tampa.

Peach Bowl: Maryland

Ralph's team has been very Jekyll and Hyde this year but, this past weekend they took a break following their NC State eek out win two weeks ago. With a date against Coastal foe Virginia Tech the Terrapins need to be able to hold serve Thursday night to keep their ACC title game birth alive. They're sitting in the driver's seat and as the lead dog in the Atlantic they've got a full game lead that will insulate them until the showdown against Florida State.

Gator Bowl: Florida State

Just when I move them up into the ACC title game spot as the champion of the conference they go out and lose in a physical battle to the Wreck in the Doak. Christian Ponder and Greg Carr need to bring back their down field passing game and get Antone Smith back on track this week against a Clemson team that has played very well against Bobby Bowden lately. The 'Noles should take care of business, their toughest games coming against BC, Maryland and the cross state rival Florida. Good thing I didn't fire up the Ponder Heisman bus.

Champs Sports Bowl: Virginia

Yes the Heels are just a game back from UVA but the Hoos have only the Hokies standing in their way as a game looking difficult. Their dates with Wake Forest and Clemson don't seem as sexy as they did preseason and Groh's team has a chip on its shoulder; especially Cedric Peerman, after dropping a game to a young Miami squad. Look for Peerman to continue his tear through the ACC and he'll continue to put up monster numbers.

Those are the four big boys and notice the subtle shake up with the rest of the bowl picture:

Meineke Car Care Bowl: North Carolina

The Heels are making it hard to move them up but a win this week would all but guarantee the Heels a top four finish in the ACC and a bump to one of the upper tier bowl games.

Emerald Bowl: Wake Forest

With a win over Miami the Deacons are right back in the Atlantic race but they don't have enough in the tank to catch the Terps or the Seminoles.

Music City Bowl: Virginia Tech

Coming out of the bye week it looks like Sean Glennon will get the start and their Thursday night showdown could drop them from contender in the coastal to fighting with Duke for space at the bottom.

Humanitarian Bowl: Miami

The Canes put a stop to the Hoos winning ways but with dates left against the Hokies and at Georgia Tech Shannon's boys will most likely limp into their ACC finale against the Wolfpack.

Eagle Bank Bowl: Boston College

Just two weeks ago the Eagles looked like a lock to finish in that 5-7 range, now; after loses at Carolina and at home to Clemson the are fighting for their post season life. Dates with Notre Dame out of conference and interconference showdowns with Florida State, Wake and Maryland definitely have become BC's own personal murderers row.

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